In all my channel surfing for postmortem election analysis, almost no one seemed to want to talk about race as a critical factor. That the choice on the ballot was a white man versus a Black woman.
Nailed it. I sat in on the "Win with Black Women" call Sunday night and Joy Reid did a data dive based on exit polls. According to those data, which are not absolute or final, the biggest rightward shift from 2020 is seen in Latino males. In her analysis (big picture) Trump won because he as able to get more white people to vote, mostly white males, because he promoted early voting which railed against in 2020. The other factor according to that early data: 7% of Democratic voters that voted in 2020 stayed home in 2024. So white people were a bigger share of the 2024 electorate (68%) compared to their proportion in the general population (60%). And they overwhelmingly went for Trump.
Nailed it. I sat in on the "Win with Black Women" call Sunday night and Joy Reid did a data dive based on exit polls. According to those data, which are not absolute or final, the biggest rightward shift from 2020 is seen in Latino males. In her analysis (big picture) Trump won because he as able to get more white people to vote, mostly white males, because he promoted early voting which railed against in 2020. The other factor according to that early data: 7% of Democratic voters that voted in 2020 stayed home in 2024. So white people were a bigger share of the 2024 electorate (68%) compared to their proportion in the general population (60%). And they overwhelmingly went for Trump.
Another perspective: 71 million people voted for a black woman to be president. 48% of the electorate. Progress?